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Red67
725025.0
779418.9
360326.4
Blue38
224618.3
78556.6
345226.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714102060801001206738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave0
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
15Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +12
9Coral scored#6
32Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
46Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
67Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#11
26.40.6
26.727.3
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End3.4
blue by 0.2
3452
#22
26.60.3
16.215.9
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End2.3
Second
25.00.6
21.522.1
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End1.7
red by 6.7
2246
#29
18.30.3
14.714.4
Auto1.6
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Third
7794
#14
18.90.6
10.411.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End4.2
red by 12.4
7855
#34
6.60.3
7.06.7
Auto1.5
Teleop5.7
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed