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Red34
368821.5
71556.0
516211.5
Blue87
608725.9
224618.3
22638.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4080020601001201403487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+53
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +50
4Coral scored#11
14Coral points38
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
0Processor points18
8Net points16
8Algae points34
22Total teleop72
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#5
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
34Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#27
21.51.2
20.018.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
blue by 17.4
226
#1
38.91.5
32.033.4
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
Second
5162
#24
11.51.2
9.58.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End2.8
blue by 14.4
6087
#21
25.91.5
21.122.5
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End3.0
Third
7155
#35
6.01.2
9.48.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.9
blue by 12.3
2246
#29
18.31.5
15.517.0
Auto1.6
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsMissed