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Red87
779418.9
550543.2
335732.3
Blue54
725025.0
437720.2
975415.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825302040601001208754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+11Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
49Total teleop41
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#13
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
87Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.21.9
31.433.3
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
red by 18.1
25.00.3
24.424.7
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Second
32.31.9
28.630.5
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
red by 12.1
4377
#36
20.20.3
13.714.1
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Third
7794
#14
18.91.9
10.112.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End4.2
red by 3.6
9754
#25
15.30.3
10.010.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed