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Red51
368821.5
354633.6
224618.3
Blue111
335732.3
975916.0
779029.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73785060709010011051111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+22
Endgame+42
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
42Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points18
51Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#17
33.62.0
27.725.7
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
red by 1.4
32.32.1
30.532.6
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Second
3688
#27
21.52.0
18.716.8
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
blue by 8.0
7790
#15
29.52.1
24.626.8
Auto5.9
Teleop18.0
End5.6
Third
2246
#29
18.32.0
17.015.0
Auto1.6
Teleop13.7
End3.0
red by 2.3
9759
#16
16.02.1
12.714.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned