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Qual 402025 FIM District Lake City Event
Red94
360326.4
560327.1
22638.9
Blue110
1042120.7
171833.7
550543.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018740608012014016094110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+2Teleop
Endgame+18
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points11
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +6
12Coral scored#12
44Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
66Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#6
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
8Foul points6
94Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#1DQ
38.90.7
33.4→32.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
blue by 4.2
5505
#5
43.22.5
33.3→35.8
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
Second
5603
#32
27.10.7
26.8→26.1
Auto4.6
Teleop19.9
End2.5
blue by 6.6
1718
#7
33.72.5
25.9→28.4
Auto5.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
Third
3603
#11
26.40.7
29.2→28.5
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End3.4
red by 5.8
10421
#28
20.72.5
19.2→21.7
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned