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Red57
954120.0
78556.6
437720.2
Blue83
956812.5
357252.5
508632.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369702060801201401605783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+14
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
38Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
6Foul points6
57Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#36
20.21.4
14.115.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 32.4
52.50.8
47.146.3
Auto13.3
Teleop32.3
End6.9
Second
9541
#13
20.01.4
15.917.2
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
blue by 12.0
5086
#18
32.10.8
22.621.9
Auto5.5
Teleop20.4
End6.1
Third
7855
#34
6.61.4
8.910.3
Auto1.5
Teleop5.7
End-0.6
blue by 5.9
9568
#30
12.50.8
14.213.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned