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Red86
376742.6
552515.0
96508.7
Blue27
345226.6
804112.6
65618.3
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69480204060801001208627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+39Teleop
+41Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +33
8Coral scored#3
30Coral points11
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
12Processor points6
8Net points0
20Algae points6
50Total teleop17
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
18Foul points0
86Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.6
35.736.3
Auto6.1
Teleop31.1
End5.4
red by 16.0
3452
#22
26.62.2
19.417.3
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End2.3
Second
5525
#26
15.00.6
12.813.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 2.4
8041
#23
12.62.2
9.97.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Third
9650
#31
8.70.6
11.712.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.7
End1.4
red by 0.4
6561
#37
8.32.2
14.111.9
Auto1.4
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed