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Red52
360326.4
956812.5
975415.3
Blue92
560327.1
171833.7
368821.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions558320401001201405292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points1
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +32
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points38
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
34Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
52Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#11
26.40.5
28.528.0
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End3.4
blue by 7.3
33.71.9
28.430.3
Auto5.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
Second
9754
#25
15.30.5
12.111.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 11.8
5603
#32
27.11.9
26.128.0
Auto4.6
Teleop19.9
End2.5
Third
9568
#30
12.50.5
13.412.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 9.1
3688
#27
21.51.9
16.818.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned