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Red132
1042120.7
779029.5
148143.1
Blue84
516211.5
975916.0
353723.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9844020608012014016013284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+50Teleop
+60Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +42
18Coral scored#9
66Coral points34
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
96Total teleop54
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points12
132Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.13.6
33.537.1
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
red by 19.6
3537
#20
23.60.9
19.920.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End2.2
Second
7790
#15
29.53.6
26.830.4
Auto5.9
Teleop18.0
End5.6
red by 13.5
9759
#16
16.00.8
14.815.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End3.3
Third
20.73.6
21.725.4
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End3.7
red by 9.1
5162
#24
11.50.8
7.68.4
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed