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Red38
335732.3
224618.3
65618.3
Blue50
511026.5
600512.1
954120.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695802040801001203850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+18
Endgame+14
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +15
4Coral scored#7
15Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
6Processor points0
0Net points12
6Algae points12
21Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#3
0L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
2Foul points0
38Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.32.4
32.630.2
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
red by 5.8
5110
#19
26.50.2
21.020.8
Auto4.2
Teleop20.1
End2.2
Second
2246
#29
18.32.4
15.012.6
Auto1.6
Teleop13.7
End3.0
blue by 1.7
9541
#13
20.00.2
17.217.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Third
6561
#37
8.32.4
11.99.5
Auto1.4
Teleop5.2
End1.7
blue by 3.8
6005
#12
12.10.2
14.013.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed