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Red79
550543.2
96508.7
150230.2
Blue94
345226.6
608725.9
354633.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847502040601001201401607994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave6
2Coral scored#2
8Coral points10
17Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
11Coral scored#17
38Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
56Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
79Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.4
35.835.3
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
red by 9.5
3546
#17
33.61.9
25.727.7
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
Second
1502
#10
30.20.4
26.125.7
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
red by 3.6
3452
#22
26.61.9
17.319.2
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End2.3
Third
9650
#31
8.70.4
12.311.9
Auto1.6
Teleop5.7
End1.4
blue by 17.2
6087
#21
25.91.9
24.526.5
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed