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Red90
516211.5
22638.9
511026.5
Blue51
360326.4
779029.5
78556.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717640601001209051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+27Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
12Coral scored#5
44Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
54Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
90Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#1
38.92.7
33.135.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
red by 9.4
7790
#15
29.51.7
30.428.7
Auto5.9
Teleop18.0
End5.6
Second
5110
#19
26.52.7
20.823.4
Auto4.2
Teleop20.1
End2.2
Level
3603
#11
26.41.7
28.026.3
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End3.4
Third
5162
#24
11.52.7
8.411.1
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End2.8
red by 4.9
7855
#34
6.61.7
10.68.8
Auto1.5
Teleop5.7
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed