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Red71
600512.1
1042120.7
608725.9
Blue84
345226.6
954120.0
956812.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805202040601001201407184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
58Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points12
71Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6087
#21
25.91.8
26.524.7
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End3.0
blue by 0.7
3452
#22
26.60.5
19.219.7
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End2.3
Second
20.71.8
25.423.6
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End3.7
red by 0.6
9541
#13
20.00.5
17.017.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Third
6005
#12
12.11.8
13.812.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End1.3
blue by 0.3
9568
#30
12.50.5
12.913.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned