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Red121
150230.2
353723.6
171833.7
Blue77
78556.6
550543.2
956812.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9864020408012014016012177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+32Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +25
19Coral scored#13
68Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
82Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
121Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.8
31.933.7
Auto5.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
blue by 9.4
43.20.1
35.335.5
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
Second
1502
#10
30.22.0
25.727.7
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
red by 17.8
9568
#30
12.50.1
13.413.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Third
3537
#20
23.62.0
21.723.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End2.2
red by 17.0
7855
#34
6.60.1
8.88.9
Auto1.5
Teleop5.7
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed