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Red85
148143.1
608725.9
437720.2
Blue129
511026.5
345226.6
357252.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110640608012014016085129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+42
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
15Coral scored#22
55Coral points79
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
75Total teleop107
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#10
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
85Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.3
37.437.1
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
blue by 9.4
52.52.7
48.050.6
Auto13.3
Teleop32.3
End6.9
Second
6087
#21
25.90.3
24.724.3
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End3.0
blue by 0.7
3452
#22
26.62.7
19.722.4
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End2.3
Third
4377
#36
20.20.3
17.717.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 6.3
5110
#19
26.52.7
23.426.1
Auto4.2
Teleop20.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed