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Red106
354633.6
508632.1
516211.5
Blue41
96508.7
71556.0
1042120.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8254010015010641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+57Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +54
19Coral scored#6
68Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
86Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#2
5L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
106Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#17
33.62.6
25.327.9
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
red by 13.0
20.71.6
23.621.9
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End3.7
Second
5086
#18
32.12.6
26.929.5
Auto5.5
Teleop20.4
End6.1
red by 23.4
9650
#31
8.71.6
12.711.0
Auto1.6
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Third
5162
#24
11.52.6
11.113.7
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End2.8
red by 5.5
7155
#35
6.01.6
7.96.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed