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Red94
804112.6
600512.1
779029.5
Blue35
360326.4
65618.3
975916.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59622040801009435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+29Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
9Coral scored#4
32Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
36Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#7
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
30Foul points0
94Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#15
29.51.1
28.729.8
Auto5.9
Teleop18.0
End5.6
red by 3.1
3603
#11
26.41.6
26.324.7
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End3.4
Second
8041
#23
12.61.1
10.611.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End2.4
blue by 3.5
9759
#16
16.01.6
16.715.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End3.3
Third
6005
#12
12.11.1
12.013.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End1.3
red by 3.8
6561
#37
8.31.6
9.98.3
Auto1.4
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed