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Red75
954120.0
368821.5
150230.2
Blue50
552515.0
560327.1
779418.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76692040601001201407550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+27Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
52Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
75Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#10
30.20.6
27.728.3
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
red by 3.1
5603
#32
27.11.1
28.427.3
Auto4.6
Teleop19.9
End2.5
Second
3688
#27
21.50.6
19.720.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
red by 2.6
7794
#14
18.91.1
16.515.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End4.2
Third
9541
#13
20.00.6
17.518.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
red by 5.1
5525
#26
15.01.1
15.013.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed