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Red95
1018118.3
353723.6
550543.2
Blue118
750130.5
224618.3
376742.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9493809010011095118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+11
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
65Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points12
95Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.4
35.535.9
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
red by 0.5
42.61.3
35.737.0
Auto6.1
Teleop31.1
End5.4
Second
3537
#20
23.60.4
23.724.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End2.2
blue by 6.9
30.51.3
28.029.3
Auto2.0
Teleop22.1
End6.4
Third
18.30.4
19.019.4
Auto3.0
Teleop13.7
End1.5
blue by 0.1
2246
#29
18.31.3
17.318.6
Auto1.6
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned