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Red111
22638.9
725025.0
357252.5
Blue96
975415.3
335732.3
608725.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1277005010015020011196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+7Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave0
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points15
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +8
8Coral scored#14
29Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
57Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
111Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.1
50.650.6
Auto13.3
Teleop32.3
End6.9
red by 20.3
32.32.5
30.633.1
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Second
226
#1
38.90.1
35.835.7
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
red by 13.0
6087
#21
25.92.3
24.326.7
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End3.0
Third
25.00.1
25.425.3
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End1.7
red by 9.7
9754
#25
15.32.5
12.615.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned