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Red91
376742.6
975415.3
779418.9
Blue87
508632.1
560327.1
511026.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7191204060801001201401609187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points10
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
60Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
91Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.9
37.038.9
Auto6.1
Teleop31.1
End5.4
red by 10.5
5086
#18
32.10.3
29.529.9
Auto5.5
Teleop20.4
End6.1
Second
7794
#14
18.91.9
15.417.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End4.2
blue by 8.1
5603
#32
27.10.3
27.327.6
Auto4.6
Teleop19.9
End2.5
Third
9754
#25
15.31.9
15.217.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 11.1
5110
#19
26.50.3
26.126.4
Auto4.2
Teleop20.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed