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Red86
550543.2
975916.0
224618.3
Blue61
956812.5
150230.2
804112.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8160020401001201401608661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
9Coral scored#8
33Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
57Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
1L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
86Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.9
35.936.8
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
red by 12.9
1502
#10
30.20.1
28.328.4
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
Second
2246
#29
18.30.9
18.619.5
Auto1.6
Teleop13.7
End3.0
red by 5.8
8041
#23
12.60.1
11.711.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Third
9759
#16
16.00.9
15.116.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End3.3
red by 3.5
9568
#30
12.50.1
13.513.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed