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Red117
345226.6
148143.1
360326.4
Blue78
65618.3
954120.0
354633.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9555020408012014016011778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +35
19Coral scored#9
67Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
89Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#3
7L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points2
117Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.12.4
37.139.5
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
red by 9.5
3546
#17
33.61.6
27.929.5
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
Second
3452
#22
26.62.4
22.424.8
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End2.3
red by 6.6
9541
#13
20.01.6
18.119.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Third
3603
#11
26.42.4
24.727.1
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End3.4
red by 18.1
6561
#37
8.31.6
8.39.8
Auto1.4
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed