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Qual 682025 FIM District Lake City Event
Red45
1042120.7
516211.5
65618.3
Blue120
750130.5
22638.9
335732.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50123010015045120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+57
Endgame+67
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points15
3Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +45
7Coral scored#16
26Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
36Total teleop81
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points8
45Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10421
#28
20.71.7
21.9→20.3
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End3.7
blue by 18.3
226
#1
38.90.5
35.7→35.2
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
Second
5162
#24
11.51.7
13.7→12.0
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End2.8
blue by 20.8
3357
#8
32.30.5
33.1→32.7
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Third
6561
#37
8.31.5
9.8→8.3
Auto1.4
Teleop5.2
End1.7
blue by 22.1
7501
#6
30.50.5
29.3→28.8
Auto2.0
Teleop22.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned