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Red91
975916.0
357252.5
954120.0
Blue36
437720.2
96508.7
360326.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100490204060801201401609136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+45Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
26Coral points0
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
49Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
91Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.4
50.650.9
Auto13.3
Teleop32.3
End6.9
red by 26.1
3603
#11
26.41.2
27.125.9
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End3.4
Second
9541
#13
20.00.4
19.720.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
blue by 0.2
4377
#36
20.21.2
15.514.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Third
9759
#16
16.00.4
16.016.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End3.3
red by 7.3
9650
#31
8.71.2
9.98.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed