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Red98
150230.2
1042120.7
511026.5
Blue144
368821.5
22638.9
376742.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8611205010015020098144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+42
Endgame+44
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +35
15Coral scored#21
54Coral points75
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
68Total teleop103
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#9
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points2
98Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#10
30.20.4
28.428.8
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
blue by 12.4
42.62.4
38.941.3
Auto6.1
Teleop31.1
End5.4
Second
5110
#19
26.50.4
26.426.8
Auto4.2
Teleop20.1
End2.2
blue by 12.5
226
#1
38.92.4
35.237.7
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
Third
20.70.4
20.320.7
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End3.7
blue by 0.9
3688
#27
21.52.4
19.421.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned