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Red45
725025.0
956812.5
224618.3
Blue117
750130.5
148143.1
552515.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649620408012014016045117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+56
Endgame+66
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +46
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
6Processor points12
4Net points24
10Algae points36
33Total teleop79
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points6
45Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.01.1
24.723.6
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 18.1
43.12.0
39.541.5
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
Second
2246
#29
18.31.1
19.518.3
Auto1.6
Teleop13.7
End3.0
blue by 12.1
30.52.0
28.830.8
Auto2.0
Teleop22.1
End6.4
Third
9568
#30
12.51.1
13.612.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 2.5
5525
#26
15.02.0
13.015.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned