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Red142
376742.6
804112.6
22638.9
Blue48
600512.1
975916.0
511026.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10355015020014248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+78Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
22Coral points3
22Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +68
21Coral scored#6
74Coral points22
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
104Total teleop36
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#1
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#10
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
142Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.0
41.342.4
Auto6.1
Teleop31.1
End5.4
red by 16.2
5110
#19
26.50.3
26.826.5
Auto4.2
Teleop20.1
End2.2
Second
226
#1
38.91.0
37.738.7
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
red by 22.9
9759
#16
16.00.3
16.416.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End3.3
Third
8041
#23
12.61.0
11.312.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End2.4
red by 0.4
6005
#12
12.10.3
12.512.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End1.3