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Red77
335732.3
368821.5
750130.5
Blue96
779029.5
171833.7
560327.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021007080901101201301407796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#16
38Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
56Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
77Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.2
32.632.4
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
blue by 1.5
33.70.2
32.532.7
Auto5.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
Second
30.50.2
30.830.6
Auto2.0
Teleop22.1
End6.4
red by 1.0
7790
#15
29.50.2
28.328.5
Auto5.9
Teleop18.0
End5.6
Third
3688
#27
21.50.2
21.921.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
blue by 5.6
5603
#32
27.10.2
25.926.1
Auto4.6
Teleop19.9
End2.5