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Red180
357252.5
353723.6
148143.1
Blue124
508632.1
360326.4
608725.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1329150150200180124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+76Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
24Coral scored#18
86Coral points65
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
30Processor points12
28Net points12
58Algae points24
144Total teleop89
Reef
15L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
180Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.9
50.951.9
Auto13.3
Teleop32.3
End6.9
red by 20.5
5086
#18
32.10.5
31.532.1
Auto5.5
Teleop20.4
End6.1
Second
43.10.9
41.542.4
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
red by 16.7
3603
#11
26.40.5
25.926.4
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End3.4
Third
3537
#20
23.60.9
22.022.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End2.2
blue by 2.4
6087
#21
25.90.5
25.425.9
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End3.0