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Red132
354633.6
550543.2
437720.2
Blue109
725025.0
345226.6
150230.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9389050150200132109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +13
19Coral scored#13
69Coral points46
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
18Processor points12
8Net points24
26Algae points36
95Total teleop82
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
132Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.21.0
37.238.2
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
red by 12.9
1502
#10
30.20.5
28.829.3
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
Second
3546
#17
33.61.0
27.728.7
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
red by 7.0
3452
#22
26.60.5
25.225.7
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End2.3
Third
4377
#36
20.21.0
14.215.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 4.8
25.00.5
23.624.1
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End1.7