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Red53
600512.1
975916.0
511026.5
Blue102
335732.3
368821.5
750130.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6110405015020053102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+35
Endgame+47
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +38
8Coral scored#15
29Coral points55
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
37Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points2
53Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5110
#19
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto4.2
Teleop20.1
End2.2
blue by 5.8
32.30.3
32.432.8
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Second
9759
#16
16.00.0
16.116.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End3.3
blue by 14.5
30.50.3
30.631.0
Auto2.0
Teleop22.1
End6.4
Third
6005
#12
12.10.0
12.212.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End1.3
blue by 9.4
3688
#27
21.50.3
21.722.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6