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Red85
508632.1
360326.4
608725.9
Blue107
725025.0
345226.6
150230.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978940608012014016085107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
16Coral scored#17
56Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
70Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#7
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points2
85Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#18
32.10.0
32.132.1
Auto5.5
Teleop20.4
End6.1
red by 1.8
1502
#10
30.20.6
29.329.9
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
Second
3603
#11
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End3.4
blue by 0.2
3452
#22
26.60.6
25.726.3
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End2.3
Third
6087
#21
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End3.0
red by 0.9
25.00.6
24.124.7
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End1.7