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Red175
357252.5
353723.6
148143.1
Blue168
354633.6
550543.2
437720.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1389450150200175168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+5Endgame
+7Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +1
21Coral scored#26
75Coral points92
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
24Processor points18
28Net points16
52Algae points34
127Total teleop126
Reef
8L4#10
9L3#9
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#38
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +7
2Foul points0
175Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.6
51.952.5
Auto13.3
Teleop32.3
End6.9
red by 9.4
43.21.4
38.239.6
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
Second
43.10.6
42.443.1
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
red by 9.5
3546
#17
33.61.4
28.730.1
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
Third
3537
#20
23.60.6
22.923.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End2.2
red by 3.4
4377
#36
20.21.4
15.216.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5