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Red110
376742.6
804112.6
22638.9
Blue102
725025.0
345226.6
150230.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068850150200110102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
16Coral scored#18
58Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
80Total teleop84
Reef
10L4#8
5L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
110Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.2
42.442.7
Auto6.1
Teleop31.1
End5.4
red by 12.4
1502
#10
30.20.4
29.930.2
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
Second
226
#1
38.90.2
38.839.0
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
red by 12.3
3452
#22
26.60.4
26.326.6
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End2.3
Third
8041
#23
12.60.2
12.412.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End2.4
blue by 12.5
25.00.4
24.725.0
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End1.7