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Red119
354633.6
550543.2
437720.2
Blue66
335732.3
368821.5
750130.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10198608012014011966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+47Teleop
+55Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
17Coral scored#9
61Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
75Total teleop49
Reef
9L4#3
6L3#2
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points2
119Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.7
39.640.3
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
red by 10.9
32.30.5
32.832.3
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Second
3546
#17
33.60.7
30.130.8
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
red by 3.2
30.50.5
31.030.5
Auto2.0
Teleop22.1
End6.4
Third
4377
#36
20.20.7
16.617.3
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 1.4
3688
#27
21.50.5
22.021.5
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6