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Red109
779029.5
171833.7
560327.1
Blue136
357252.5
353723.6
148143.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10214150200109136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+29
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
15Coral scored#19
53Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
81Total teleop99
Reef
4L4#8
6L3#8
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
109Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.0
33.233.3
Auto5.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
blue by 18.8
52.50.1
52.552.4
Auto13.3
Teleop32.3
End6.9
Second
7790
#15
29.50.0
29.029.1
Auto5.9
Teleop18.0
End5.6
blue by 13.6
43.10.1
43.143.0
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
Third
5603
#32
27.10.0
26.626.6
Auto4.6
Teleop19.9
End2.5
red by 3.5
3537
#20
23.60.1
23.523.4
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End2.2