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Red108
354633.6
550543.2
437720.2
Blue106
376742.6
804112.6
22638.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10099708090110120130140108106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
69Total teleop66
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points8
108Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.4
40.340.7
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
red by 0.5
42.60.1
42.742.6
Auto6.1
Teleop31.1
End5.4
Second
3546
#17
33.60.4
30.831.2
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
blue by 5.3
226
#1
38.90.1
39.038.9
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End4.5
Third
4377
#36
20.20.4
17.317.8
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5
red by 7.6
8041
#23
12.60.1
12.612.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End2.4