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Red142
283258.7
233769.4
961823.7
Blue141
50348.1
590741.3
842620.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17311150100150200250142141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+1
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
8Coral scored#6
42Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +5
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points52
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
18Processor points18
20Net points12
38Algae points30
77Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +1
8Foul points6
142Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.4
69.969.5
Auto17.0
Teleop44.5
End7.9
red by 21.3
503
#3
48.10.6
47.448.0
Auto15.2
Teleop26.8
End6.1
Second
58.70.4
59.358.8
Auto20.5
Teleop32.2
End6.0
red by 17.4
41.30.6
40.641.2
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
Third
9618
#21
23.70.4
24.323.8
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End2.4
red by 3.8
8426
#24
20.00.6
19.319.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.3