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Red146
50348.1
590741.3
842620.0
Blue113
722040.9
28014.3
842436.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1179750150200146113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave0
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points12
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
19Coral scored#18
68Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
86Total teleop85
Reef
9L4#7
8L3#4
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points2
146Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#3
48.10.9
46.547.4
Auto15.2
Teleop26.8
End6.1
red by 7.2
7220
#15
40.90.5
40.540.9
Auto5.1
Teleop31.6
End4.3
Second
41.30.9
39.740.6
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
red by 4.9
8424
#11
36.40.5
35.936.4
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End4.9
Third
8426
#24
20.00.9
18.319.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.3
red by 5.7
280
#35
14.30.5
13.814.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.1