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Red130
717440.5
922625.1
686138.2
Blue145
722040.9
28014.3
842436.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1199850150200130145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+33
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +27
17Coral scored#25
60Coral points91
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
18Processor points18
12Net points8
30Algae points26
90Total teleop117
Reef
6L4#12
6L3#5
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#33
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
130Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.5
40.140.5
Auto15.0
Teleop22.9
End2.7
blue by 0.4
7220
#15
40.91.1
39.440.5
Auto5.1
Teleop31.6
End4.3
Second
38.20.5
37.738.2
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End7.7
red by 1.8
8424
#11
36.41.1
34.835.9
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End4.9
Third
9226
#19
25.10.5
24.625.1
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End3.5
red by 10.8
280
#35
14.31.1
12.713.8
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.1