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Red84
28014.3
590741.3
1067222.7
Blue42
883216.0
714713.9
364132.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69653040506080901008442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
26Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +22
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
50Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points0
84Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.3
26.527.8
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
red by 9.2
3641
#17
32.11.5
36.835.3
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End7.3
Second
22.71.3
19.320.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
red by 6.7
8832
#27
16.01.5
11.710.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Third
280
#35
14.31.3
12.714.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.1
red by 0.4
7147
#32
13.91.5
16.114.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed