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Red85
473722.6
30824.6
561229.6
Blue18
838510.4
610122.8
1059013.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685602040801001201408518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+67Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +61
14Coral scored#3
49Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
71Total teleop10
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
85Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#10
29.62.2
19.922.1
Auto6.7
Teleop21.9
End1.0
red by 6.8
6101
#13
22.82.1
20.218.2
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End3.6
Second
308
#23
24.62.0
13.515.4
Auto3.2
Teleop20.6
End0.8
red by 11.6
13.02.3
16.113.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Third
4737
#26
22.62.0
22.024.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End1.9
red by 12.2
8385
#37
10.42.1
12.610.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed