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Red32
842620.0
759810.6
1070521.4
Blue73
842436.4
520520.5
653224.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66644050607080901001103273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+31
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +31
3Coral scored#6
10Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
14Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
32Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.42.0
23.521.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End3.4
blue by 14.9
8424
#11
36.40.7
28.629.3
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End4.9
Second
8426
#24
20.02.0
25.323.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.3
blue by 4.7
24.70.8
18.319.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.3
Third
7598
#39
10.62.0
13.711.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
blue by 9.9
5205
#16
20.50.7
15.716.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned