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Red75
717815.5
615232.6
1028515.7
Blue172
506729.7
233769.4
50348.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57150010020025075172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+77
Endgame+97
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave3
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points29
12Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +57
9Coral scored#21
33Coral points76
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#8
12Processor points6
12Net points32
24Algae points38
57Total teleop114
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#10
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
0Foul points0
75Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#20
32.60.3
33.834.1
Auto6.0
Teleop24.8
End1.9
blue by 36.7
69.42.3
57.860.1
Auto17.0
Teleop44.5
End7.9
Second
15.70.3
10.210.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End1.5
blue by 32.4
503
#3
48.12.3
34.436.7
Auto15.2
Teleop26.8
End6.1
Third
7178
#18
15.50.3
11.311.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
blue by 14.3
5067
#14
29.72.3
28.530.8
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned