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Red70
973518.4
30824.6
610122.8
Blue124
653224.7
50348.1
883216.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63830204010012014016070124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+40
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +19
11Coral scored#16
38Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
56Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#8
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
70Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#23
24.60.4
17.617.1
Auto3.2
Teleop20.6
End0.8
blue by 23.5
503
#3
48.12.5
37.540.0
Auto15.2
Teleop26.8
End6.1
Second
6101
#13
22.80.4
18.918.5
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End3.6
blue by 1.8
24.72.5
19.922.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.3
Third
9735
#34
18.40.4
15.915.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
red by 2.3
8832
#27
16.02.5
10.713.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned