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Red116
722040.9
957229.1
590741.3
Blue54
842620.0
1067222.7
717815.5
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9960020408012014016011654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+52Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +48
16Coral scored#7
58Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
86Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
116Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.5
28.329.9
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
red by 18.6
22.70.7
19.719.0
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Second
7220
#15
40.91.5
30.131.7
Auto5.1
Teleop31.6
End4.3
red by 21.0
8426
#24
20.00.7
24.123.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.3
Third
29.11.5
25.727.3
Auto4.0
Teleop19.9
End5.3
red by 13.7
7178
#18
15.50.7
12.411.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed