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Red128
714713.9
233769.4
842436.4
Blue37
619011.9
838510.4
615232.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1246705010015020012837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+87Teleop
+97Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave9
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +62
15Coral scored#3
54Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
78Total teleop16
Reef
7L4#1
7L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
26Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points6
128Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.41.0
60.761.7
Auto17.0
Teleop44.5
End7.9
red by 36.7
6152
#20
32.62.5
34.732.2
Auto6.0
Teleop24.8
End1.9
Second
8424
#11
36.41.0
28.429.4
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End4.9
red by 24.5
6190
#28
11.92.5
17.314.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Third
7147
#32
13.91.0
15.316.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
red by 3.5
8385
#37
10.42.5
10.27.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed