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Red53
914811.3
1059013.0
473722.6
Blue103
755329.1
842724.6
506729.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5296015053103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+38
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +38
8Coral scored#14
27Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
37Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
53Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4737
#26
22.60.4
23.723.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End1.9
blue by 7.2
5067
#14
29.70.8
32.132.9
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End6.1
Second
13.00.4
13.813.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 16.1
29.10.8
19.620.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.9
End4.0
Third
9148
#38
11.30.4
12.011.7
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End0.7
blue by 13.3
8427
#12
24.60.8
24.425.2
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned