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Red50
686138.2
717815.5
922625.1
Blue37
473722.6
920412.0
759810.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755420401001201405037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+5
+3Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
3Coral scored#5
9Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
13Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#7
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
10Foul points0
50Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.21.6
34.332.6
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End7.7
red by 15.6
4737
#26
22.60.9
23.322.4
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End1.9
Second
9226
#19
25.11.6
18.216.6
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End3.5
red by 13.0
9204
#36
12.00.9
13.412.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Third
7178
#18
15.51.6
11.710.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
red by 4.9
7598
#39
10.60.9
14.013.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed